The selection of the 2018 world Cup: Winner takes all


Kiev. NSK “Olympic”. The training of the national team of Ukraine. Ruslan MALINOVSKIY ahead of Alexander ZINCHENKO. Photo of Paul KUBANOVA, “SE”

Before the final match day situation in the groups has changed.

It remains the fact that the Ukrainian team still in the race, and she, as before, need only a victory over the Croats. However, our opponents draw is also not very happy.

For us the situation is very clear: in case of a tie, we remain below the Icelanders and below Croats. Therefore, we need only a victory, bringing the team Andriy Shevchenko in the second place in the group. The worst of the second is already gone – because in case of victory will score in games against the teams in the group space from first to fifth, 14 points.

This is more than at least that of Greece, which will play in the final round of Gibraltar and will take their group in second place behind already finished at the head table by Belgium. But to offset the dispute of the second places these points will not go.

But Croatia, a draw in Kiev will bring 12 of the “Golden” points. The difference of “2”. Not a very good result. Who is able to beat him with the sign “minus”? A few.

Incredible options are: Greece wins at home in Gibraltar, passing to second place Bosnia or Slovakia do not play again at home Malta, Slovenia allowing Scotland to determine the dispute between the second team of the group. In this case, the losers in the virtual tournament, second place will be if you win in the final round, or Bosnia, or Slovenia.

A separate description is necessary in group D. On this below separately.

POTENTIAL POINTS OF SECOND PLACE

Group A

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France 7 5 1 1 13-4 16*

Sweden 7 4 1 2 13 17-7

The table given on the basis that the last group will finish in Luxembourg. If Belarus, France will generally be at least 19 points. Holland can avoid Sweden only in the case of home wins her over with a difference of 6 or more goals. The variant we consider. It is also incredible.

Group

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Switzerland 7 7 0 0 18-4 21

Portugal 7 6 0 1 22-4 18

If Portugal plays the final round at home in Switzerland, she becomes the first and Switzerland second. The calculation is made in the form of Andorra in last place. If the table closes Latvia, the second team of the group will change only the goal difference. So the second team in the playoffs.

Group

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SEV.Ireland 7 4 1 2 13 10-5

The second place has occupied Northern Ireland, which, of course, changed after yesterday’s away match with Norway. Almost certainly in the playoffs.

Group D

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Serbia 7 3 3 1 13-10 12

Wales 7 2 5 0 11 7-5

Ireland 7 4 1 2 6-5 10

Left scoring games Serbia – Georgia and Wales – Ireland, affecting the final position of the teams in the group, and the balance of the second places. Here the last one will be Moldova, which is impossible to get around Georgia is by difference. If Serbia lose at home to Georgia and nevertheless finishes second in danger of falling among the losers. The issue of goal difference.

But a much more likely scenario, when second place will play each other team from the Islands. Who will win – and second in the group. Wales, in case of victory is 14 points, Ireland – 13. Now a draw, which in the larger debate is good for the Welsh, leaving him in second place with a 12 “Golden” points. And the difference of “2”. Here it is in case things need to be considered scored…

Group E

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Poland 7 6 0 1 18-10 19

Denmark 7 4 1 2 13 12-5

Montenegro 7 3 1 3 10-8 13

13 points from candidates of the second place is already the owner of it, whoever was with one foot in the playoffs.

Group F

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Slovakia 8 4 0 4 11-6 12

Scotland 7 3 2 2 8-9 11

Slovenia 7 2 2 3 7-6 8

Latest here just Malta playing away with Slovakia. That your result in dispute second place will not improve, but, at least, should not allow itself to get around Slovenia in a big dispute. Scotland with the victory of Slovakia over Malta will be the second only in case of away victory over Slovenia. Then she will have 14 points in the dispute second place.

Group G

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Italy 7 4 2 14 1 11-8

The second place took Italy, and it certainly will play in the playoffs.

Group H

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Greece 8 3 4 1 9-5 13

Bosnia 7 2 2 3 13-12 8

Bosnia may displace from the second position to Greece only in the case of an away victory over Estonia and Greece nevyigrysh home from Gibraltar. In this we cannot believe.

Group I

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Croatia 7 3 2 2 6-4 11

Ukraine 7 3 2 2 8-7 11

Iceland could become the second only in the case of a home defeat against Kosovo.

Conclusion: the waiting logging, in which a draw does not suit anyone. Something like the match of the final round of the group stage of the 2003/04 UEFA Champions League “Dinamo” – “inter” (1:1), when victory, exasperated that the one that another team in the playoffs. Daniele ADANI opened the scoring in the 68th minute. Diogo rinc√≥n in the 85th equalized. The last minutes passed without midfield. Ruined the moment at one of the gates, threw the ball to the other half…

The latter then missed Florin Cernat. “Dynamo” has left the competition, inter have dropped into the UEFA Cup, and the playoffs were “laughing third” – “locomotive”…

Eugene BELOZEROV, Sport-Express in Ukraine

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