During doctrines “the West-2017”, which will start on 14 September in Minsk, Russia could make a provocation against any third country from the territory of Belarus. It is possible that the sight will get Ukraine.
Such opinion in interview to the German magazine Der Spiegel expressed the Belarusian military expert Andrei Porotnikov.
The analyst suggests that Russian military aircraft can violate Ukrainian airspace. And they will make it from the South of Belarus, near Kiev, I’m sure Porotnikov.
In response to the threat posed by Russia, the Ukrainian side will launch a missile air defense, “which because of the small distance to the border might fall on the territory of Belarus, or simply violate its airspace,” explained a potential scenario expert.
It will untie the hands of Russia, which tries to persuade Minsk to the deployment of Russian air defense systems s-400 to protect the air space of Belarus.
As a result, two Russian division with the Belarusian territory to control the air space over the territory of Northern Ukraine, warns Porotnikov.
According to him, the likelihood of this scenario only 2%, however, should not exclude the possibility that Vladimir Putin ahead of the presidential elections in Russia will try to create a new crisis in the region as a response to tougher United States sanctions against Russia.
Recall that in Belarus continues preparation of the Russian-Belarusian military exercises “West-2017”. They will last from 14 to 20 September. The President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said that the exercises are a potential threat to the territorial integrity of Ukraine.